Vol. I · Issue 22
Wednesday, April 22, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Leadoff

Wednesday, April 22's Top Hit Picks

Batters ranked by probability of recording at least one hit today. Hit rates are less volatile than HRs — these numbers move less day-to-day and land more often. How we calculate it →


  1. 73%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .348 AVG · .293 xBA
    Pitcher
    5.21 ERA · 6.2 K/9
    Game
    STL @ MIA
    12:10 PM ET · 9:10 AM PT
    🔥 6-game hit streak
  2. 73%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .324 AVG · .331 xBA
    Pitcher
    5.21 ERA · 6.2 K/9
    Game
    STL @ MIA
    12:10 PM ET · 9:10 AM PT
  3. 73%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .318 AVG · .295 xBA
    Pitcher
    5.21 ERA · 6.2 K/9
    Game
    STL @ MIA
    12:10 PM ET · 9:10 AM PT
  4. 72%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .289 AVG · .312 xBA
    Pitcher
    6.19 ERA · 3.9 K/9
    Game
    BAL @ KC
    2:10 PM ET · 11:10 AM PT
  5. 72%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .286 AVG · .320 xBA
    Pitcher
    7.11 ERA · 6.6 K/9
    Game
    ATL @ WSH
    6:45 PM ET · 3:45 PM PT
  6. 72%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .326 AVG · .301 xBA
    Pitcher
    5.40 ERA · 12.2 K/9
    Game
    PHI @ CHC
    7:40 PM ET · 4:40 PM PT
  7. 71%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .291 AVG · .292 xBA
    Pitcher
    7.23 ERA · 10.1 K/9
    Game
    LAD @ SF
    9:45 PM ET · 6:45 PM PT
  8. 71%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .324 AVG · .306 xBA
    Pitcher
    4.87 ERA · 10.6 K/9
    Game
    PIT @ TEX
    8:05 PM ET · 5:05 PM PT
  9. 71%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .330 AVG · .370 xBA
    Pitcher
    4.81 ERA · 8.5 K/9
    Game
    HOU @ CLE
    1:10 PM ET · 10:10 AM PT
    🔥 8-game hit streak
  10. 71%
    Hit Probability
    Matchup
    Season
    .322 AVG · .323 xBA
    Pitcher
    0.95 ERA · 4.3 K/9
    Game
    MIL @ DET
    6:40 PM ET · 3:40 PM PT
    🔥 6-game hit streak
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