Teoscar Hernández
@ Colorado Rockies
Hernández's 4.1% home-run rate grades 27% above average, amplified by Coors Field's 122 HR factor at a 22% boost; his consistent 12.1% barrel rate across season and recent splits reinforces the profile. Quintana's thin 8-inning sample and lack of handedness splits temper conviction here.
See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.
2026 Statcast Profile
Splits & Recent Form
Forecast History
Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Teoscar Hernández actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.
Last 15 Games
Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.