Vol. I · Issue 22
Wednesday, April 22, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman

BatsSwitchThrowsRightAge28Height6'1"Weight230 lbs

Next Game · Wed, Apr 22

@ Kansas City Royals

2:10 PM ET · 11:10 AM PT
Kauffman Stadium

HR Probability
11.7%
low
Hit 64%K 53%
Facing

Michael Wacha

RHP
ERA
1.00
HR/9
0.70
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Adley Rutschman (43 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

43 PA

Slash Line
AVG.316
OBP.395
SLG.553
OPS.948
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 5BB: 5K: 7
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
3.6%
Hard-Hit%
42.9%
Avg Exit Velo
90.5 mph
Launch Angle
18.5°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.283
xISO
.124
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 43 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 11.3%
0%3%5%8%10%13%15%Apr 22Apr 22Apr 22
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Adley Rutschman actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.