Vol. I · Issue 28
Tuesday, April 28, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Austin Hays

Austin Hays

BatsRightThrowsRightAge30Height5'10"Weight200 lbs

Next Game · Tue, Apr 28

vs Los Angeles Angels

7:40 PM ET · 4:40 PM PT
Rate Field

HR Probability
11.8%
low
Hit 60%K 64%
Facing

José Soriano

RHP
ERA
0.24
HR/9
0.20
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Austin Hays (33 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

33 PA

Slash Line
AVG.219
OBP.242
SLG.344
OPS.586
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 6BB: 1K: 12
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
5.0%
Hard-Hit%
55.0%
Avg Exit Velo
85.1 mph
Launch Angle
-2.8°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.264
xISO
.087
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 33 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
2 games
HRavg 11.9%
0%5%10%15%20%
Hitavg 60.5%
10%30%50%70%90%
Kavg 70.0%
5%25%45%65%85%
Apr 28Apr 28Apr 28
PredictedHappenedPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Austin Hays actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.