Vol. I · Issue 6
The Dinger Almanac
Wed, May 6, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Blake Dunn

Blake Dunn

BatsRightThrowsRightAge27Height5'9"Weight210 lbs

Next Game · Wed, May 6

@ Chicago Cubs

7:40 PM ET · 4:40 PM PT
Wrigley Field

HR Probability
12.2%
Low
Hit 64%K 54%
Facing

Colin Rea

RHP
ERA
4.41
HR/9
0.80
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Blake Dunn (0 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

75 PA

Slash Line
AVG.150
OBP.320
SLG.233
OPS.553
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 7BB: 8K: 25
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
8.6%
Hard-Hit%
37.1%
Avg Exit Velo
88.6 mph
Launch Angle
-0.3°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.304
xISO
.099
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 0 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
3 games
HRavg 12.6%
0%5%10%15%20%
Hitavg 63.8%
10%30%50%70%90%
Kavg 53.6%
5%25%45%65%85%
May 4May 5May 6
PredictedHappenedPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Blake Dunn actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


DateOppPAHHRK
Tue, May 5@ CHC000
Mon, May 4@ CHC000
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.