Vol. I · Issue 4
The Dinger Almanac
Mon, May 4, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/George Springer

George Springer

BatsRightThrowsRightAge36Height6'1"Weight220 lbs

Next Game · Mon, May 4

@ Tampa Bay Rays

6:40 PM ET · 3:40 PM PT
Tropicana Field

HR Probability
11.0%
Med
Hit 63%K 47%
Facing

Nick Martinez

RHP
ERA
1.70
HR/9
0.70
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

2026 Statcast Profile

75 PA

Slash Line
AVG.212
OBP.307
SLG.364
OPS.671
ISO
HR: 2RBI: 7BB: 8K: 15
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
7.8%
Hard-Hit%
41.2%
Avg Exit Velo
88.6 mph
Launch Angle
20.5°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.303
xISO
.155
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 61 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
5 games
HRavg 12.1%
0%5%10%15%20%
Hitavg 64.7%
10%30%50%70%90%
Kavg 50.9%
5%25%45%65%85%
Apr 30May 2May 4
PredictedHappenedPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where George Springer actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


DateOppPAHHRK
Sun, May 3@ MIN000
Sat, May 2@ MIN200
Fri, May 1@ MIN510
Thu, Apr 30@ MIN421
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.