Vol. I · Issue 6
The Dinger Almanac
Wed, May 6, 2026
The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···
Today's Slate/Jackson Chourio
Milwaukee Brewers·CF

Jackson Chourio

BatsRightThrowsRightAge22Height6'1"Weight199 lbs
Next Game · Tue, Jul 7

@ St. Louis Cardinals

7:45 PM ET · 4:45 PM PT
Busch Stadium
HR Probability
11.5%
Low
Hit 64%K 53%
Facing

Andre Pallante

RHP
ERA
3.73
HR/9
1.20
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Jackson Chourio (0 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

5 PA
Slash Line
AVG1.000
OBP1.000
SLG1.500
OPS2.500
ISO—
HR: 0RBI: 0BB: 1K: 0
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
50.0%
Hard-Hit%
100.0%
Avg Exit Velo
106.5 mph
Launch Angle
17.9°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
1.090
xISO
1.213
K%
—
BB%
—

Splits & Recent Form

Handedness Splits
vs LHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
—
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
—
OPS
—
Barrel%
Over 5 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History

14-Day Forecast History
2 games
HRavg 11.1%
0%5%10%15%20%
Hitavg 64.1%
10%30%50%70%90%
Kavg 52.1%
5%25%45%65%85%
Jul 7May 6May 6
PredictedHappenedPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jackson Chourio actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games

DateOppPAHHRK
Tue, Jul 7@ STL00—0
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.