Vol. I · Issue 4
The Dinger Almanac
Mon, May 4, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Jarred Kelenic

Jarred Kelenic

BatsLeftThrowsLeftAge26Height5'11"Weight206 lbs

Next Game · Mon, May 4

@ Los Angeles Angels

9:38 PM ET · 6:38 PM PT
Angel Stadium

HR Probability
10.8%
Low
Hit 62%K 57%
Facing

José Soriano

RHP
ERA
0.84
HR/9
0.60
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Jarred Kelenic (7 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

7 PA

Slash Line
AVG.167
OBP.286
SLG.167
OPS.453
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 0BB: 1K: 1
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
33.3%
Hard-Hit%
66.7%
Avg Exit Velo
98.1 mph
Launch Angle
6.5°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.433
xISO
.160
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 7 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
4 games
HRavg 11.4%
0%5%10%15%20%
Hitavg 63.1%
10%30%50%70%90%
Kavg 54.6%
5%25%45%65%85%
May 1May 3May 4
PredictedHappenedPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Jarred Kelenic actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


DateOppPAHHRK
Sun, May 3@ SD210
Sat, May 2@ SD300
Fri, May 1@ SD000
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.