Vol. I · Issue 26
Sunday, April 26, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

BatsLeftThrowsLeftAge28Height6'2"Weight205 lbs

Next Game · Sun, Apr 26

vs Detroit Tigers

1:40 PM ET · 10:40 AM PT
Great American Ball Park

HR Probability
12.3%
low
Hit 63%K 62%

Great American Ball Park's 115 HR factor provides the primary lift at 1.15x, offsetting Montero's below-average 1.05 HR-per-nine. Note: Bleday carries zero PA this season, making all projections speculative.

Facing

Keider Montero

RHP
ERA
3.68
HR/9
0.00
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for JJ Bleday (0 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

344 PA

Slash Line
AVG.212
OBP.294
SLG.404
OPS.698
ISO
HR: 14RBI: 39BB: 36K: 91
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
7.8%
Hard-Hit%
38.7%
Avg Exit Velo
88.7 mph
Launch Angle
20.5°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.276
xISO
.148
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 0 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where JJ Bleday actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.