Vol. I · Issue 23
Thursday, April 23, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Juan Soto

Juan Soto

BatsLeftThrowsLeftAge27Height6'1"Weight224 lbs

Next Game · Thu, Apr 23

vs Minnesota Twins

7:10 PM ET · 4:10 PM PT
Citi Field

HR Probability
11.8%
low
Hit 67%K 57%
Facing

Joe Ryan

RHP
ERA
3.29
HR/9
0.30
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Juan Soto (38 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

38 PA

Slash Line
AVG.353
OBP.421
SLG.500
OPS.921
ISO
HR: 1RBI: 5BB: 4K: 6
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
8.0%
Hard-Hit%
28.0%
Avg Exit Velo
87.3 mph
Launch Angle
3.9°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.322
xISO
.169
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
1
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 38 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
3 games
HRavg 11.7%
0%5%10%15%20%
Hitavg 66.9%
10%30%50%70%90%
Kavg 57.2%
5%25%45%65%85%
Apr 23Apr 23Apr 23
PredictedHappenedPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Juan Soto actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.