Vol. I · Issue 6
The Dinger Almanac
Wed, May 6, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Sean Murphy

Sean Murphy

BatsRightThrowsRightAge31Height6'3"Weight228 lbs

Next Game · Wed, May 6

@ Seattle Mariners

4:10 PM ET · 1:10 PM PT
T-Mobile Park

HR Probability
11.4%
Low
Hit 64%K 51%
Facing

Bryan Woo

RHP
ERA
4.61
HR/9
1.30
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Sean Murphy (3 PA)

2026 Statcast Profile

3 PA

Slash Line
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
ISO
HR: 0RBI: 0BB: 0K: 2
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard-Hit%
100.0%
Avg Exit Velo
107.0 mph
Launch Angle
1.7°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.181
xISO
.028
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 3 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
2 games
HRavg 11.1%
0%5%10%15%20%
Hitavg 63.9%
10%30%50%70%90%
Kavg 51.4%
5%25%45%65%85%
May 5May 6May 6
PredictedHappenedPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Sean Murphy actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


DateOppPAHHRK
Tue, May 5@ SEA000
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.