Vol. I · Issue 22
Wednesday, April 22, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Players/Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani

BatsLeftThrowsRightAge31Height6'4"Weight210 lbs

Next Game · Wed, Apr 22

@ San Francisco Giants

9:45 PM ET · 6:45 PM PT
Oracle Park

HR Probability
14.3%
medium
Hit 67%K 65%
Facing

Tyler Mahle

RHP
ERA
7.23
HR/9
2.90
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →

2026 Statcast Profile

107 PA

Slash Line
AVG.271
OBP.396
SLG.494
OPS.890
ISO
HR: 5RBI: 11BB: 16K: 25
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
25.0%
Hard-Hit%
53.3%
Avg Exit Velo
94.6 mph
Launch Angle
13.1°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.422
xISO
.292
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
4
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 75 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


14-Day Forecast History
avg 16.9%
0%5%10%15%20%Apr 17Apr 19Apr 22
HR hitNo HRPending

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Shohei Ohtani actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


DateOppPAHHRK
Tue, Apr 21@ SF412
Tue, Apr 21@ SF412
Mon, Apr 20@ COL611
Sun, Apr 19@ COL522
Sun, Apr 19@ COL522
Sat, Apr 18@ COL510
Sat, Apr 18@ COL510
Sat, Apr 18@ COL510
Sat, Apr 18@ COL510
Sat, Apr 18@ COL510
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.