Vol. I · Issue 4
The Dinger Almanac
Mon, May 4, 2026

The Dinger Almanac
··· Baseball Statistics & Analysis ···


Today's Slate/Zack Short

Zack Short

BatsRightThrowsRightAge30Height5'10"Weight180 lbs

Next Game · Mon, May 4

vs Boston Red Sox

6:40 PM ET · 3:40 PM PT
Comerica Park

HR Probability
11.5%
Low
Hit 63%K 56%
Facing

Payton Tolle

LHP
ERA
3.38
HR/9
0.80
Game Details

See full lineup analysis, both pitcher profiles, and park factors for this matchup.

Full matchup page →
CaveatsSmall sample for Zack Short (0 PA) · Small sample for Payton Tolle (10.2 IP)

2026 Statcast Profile

56 PA

Slash Line
AVG.220
OBP.291
SLG.380
OPS.671
ISO
HR: 2RBI: 7BB: 4K: 18
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
3.0%
Hard-Hit%
39.4%
Avg Exit Velo
86.2 mph
Launch Angle
20.9°
Expected Stats
xwOBA
.241
xISO
.106
K%
BB%

Splits & Recent Form


Handedness Splits
vs LHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
vs RHP
OPS
0 HR in 0 PA
Last 15 Games
0
HRs
OPS
Barrel%
Over 0 PA in the last 15 games

Forecast History


Not enough forecast history yet to chart.

Each dot is a day's forecast. Filled dots mark games where Zack Short actually homered. Used to gauge whether our model's confidence is calibrated on this player specifically.

Last 15 Games


No recent game data available.
How to Read These Numbers

Percentile bars show where each stat ranks within a reasonable league context, not strict percentiles. Values closer to the right edge are elite; left edge is poor. Read the full methodology for how we build HR probabilities and why most BvP splits aren't used.